Mito HollyHock 2-2 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.57/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.30
+15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses 18.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
254 Passes 362
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 0-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
29.06.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
21.04.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 1-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
03.09.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 1-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
07.06.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JPK
28.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
2-2
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
333 Passes 195
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock and Renofa Yamaguchi couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mito HollyHock at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 59% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 41%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mito HollyHock and 0.83 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Mito HollyHock 2-2 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 50%, draw 24%, Renofa Yamaguchi 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
30 Aug 2025
08:00 Consadole Sapporo vs Omiya Ardija Analysis →
12:30 Kataller Toyama vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →
13:00 JEF United vs Ventforet Kofu Analysis →
13:00 Imabari vs Iwaki Analysis →
13:00 Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu Analysis →
13:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →