Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montedio Yamagata v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals
Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-3
HT 1-1
Montedio Yamagata
JPK
1-3
HT 0-1
Sagan Tosu
JAP
1-0
HT 0-0
Montedio Yamagata
JAP
Montedio Yamagata 3-2 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics
Montedio Yamagata squeezed past Sagan Tosu 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Montedio Yamagata found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 45% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 55%, shots finished 17-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sagan Tosu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 2.50 for Sagan Tosu.
What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?
Montedio Yamagata 3-2 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J2 League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sagan Tosu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 35%, draw 28%, Sagan Tosu 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.