Cliftonville 3-1 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
16%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.15
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
23%
4.15
X/2
4%
9.33
X/X
8%
5.37
2/1
7%
21.95
2/2
8%
7.34
2/X
8%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
56%
+5.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
16%
Away Win
21%
-4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.5pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
2.32/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.73
+35% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Glenavon FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
15.02.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
01.02.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-2 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRK
19.10.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
17.08.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
17.02.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville beat Glenavon FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cliftonville and 1.33 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Glenavon FC?

Cliftonville 3-1 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 61%, draw 23%, Glenavon FC 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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