Aguilas Doradas 1-2 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +27%
1.16/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.84
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
17.7 Crosses 14.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Millonarios
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.82 xG 0.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
279 Passes 354
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
26.08.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-1 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
17.02.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
04.09.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
20.03.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-2 HT 2-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
15.08.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1-2
AWAY Millonarios
0.99 xG 1.06
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
231 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios squeezed past Aguilas Doradas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 45% of the ball to Millonarios's 55%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.99 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 0.67 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Millonarios?

Aguilas Doradas 1-2 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 29%, draw 28%, Millonarios 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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