Millonarios 1-0 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.13/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.05
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
18.0 Crosses 13.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.54 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
359 Passes 271
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.08.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-1 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
17.02.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
04.09.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
20.03.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-2 HT 2-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
15.08.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
17.02.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
1-0
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.58 xG 0.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
296 Passes 237
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 4
19 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios nicked a narrow win over Aguilas Doradas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Millonarios had 55% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 45%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 0.58 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Millonarios and 1.17 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Aguilas Doradas?

Millonarios 1-0 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 42%, draw 31%, Aguilas Doradas 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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