Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 46%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
0.63/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.98
-27% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +58%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
22.0 Crosses 13.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 1.79
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
21.01.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
31.03.2014 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-1
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.02 xG 1.52
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
328 Passes 231
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF and Deportes Tolima shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 57% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 43%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.02 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.00 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 32%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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