America de Cali vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America de Cali v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
America de Cali vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
America de Cali
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
0-2
HT 0-0
America de Cali
KOL
America de Cali 3-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
America de Cali ran out comfortable winners over Alianza Petrolera 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.
On the day, America de Cali had 57% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 43%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.06 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for America de Cali and 0.67 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of America de Cali vs Alianza Petrolera?
America de Cali 3-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 53%, draw 25%, Alianza Petrolera 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.