CA La Paz 3-1 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.85/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.98
+23% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.04.2025 CA La Paz CA La Paz 0-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
27.10.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 4-0 HT 3-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
23.02.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-0 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
31.07.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-4 HT 0-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
22.03.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
20.07.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz got the better of Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA La Paz as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA La Paz and 1.50 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

CA La Paz 3-1 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 42%, draw 22%, Dorados De Sinaloa 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA La Paz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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