Lysekloster 1-0 Vard Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
16%
3.8
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
4.58
2-3 Goals
32%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.0pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.2pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 25%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.58/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.98
-27% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lysekloster
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Vard Haugesund
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.07.2025 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 4-4 HT 3-0 Lysekloster Lysekloster NOR3
31.08.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 1-3 HT 0-2 Lysekloster Lysekloster NOR3
13.04.2024 Lysekloster Lysekloster 1-3 HT 0-2 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
23.03.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-4 Lysekloster Lysekloster HAZ
POST-MATCH Lysekloster vs Vard Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lysekloster squeezed past Vard Haugesund 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lysekloster as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lysekloster had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Lysekloster and 2.00 for Vard Haugesund.

What was the final score of Lysekloster vs Vard Haugesund?

Lysekloster 1-0 Vard Haugesund in the Norway - 2nd Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lysekloster vs Vard Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lysekloster win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lysekloster 55%, draw 17%, Vard Haugesund 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lysekloster) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lysekloster) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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