CA River Plate vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA River Plate v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
CA River Plate vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Nacional de Football
URU
3-0
HT 1-0
CA River Plate
URU
1-1
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
CA River Plate 0-3 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football swept aside CA River Plate 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, CA River Plate had 54% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 46%, shots finished 8-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CA River Plate and 2.50 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Nacional de Football?
CA River Plate 0-3 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 17%, draw 23%, Nacional de Football 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.