Al Wasl Dubai 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.1
Over
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.16
2-3
38%
1.86
4-5
24%
3.04
6+
11%
9.52
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.16 — our 27% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.49
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
16%
6.81
X/2
14%
4.99
X/X
11%
5.14
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
17%
2.91
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 48%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.65/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.63
-20% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
11.3 Crosses 11.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 3.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
237 Passes 333
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2019 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai AŞMPL
16.02.2019 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah AŞMPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
0-2
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.46 xG 0.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
403 Passes 264
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 5
27 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah saw off Al Wasl Dubai 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Al Ahli Jeddah made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Wasl Dubai had 58% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 42%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 0.46 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Wasl Dubai and 2.00 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Wasl Dubai 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Wasl Dubai 37%, draw 26%, Al Ahli Jeddah 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AŞMP More AFC Sampiyonlar League
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