Persepolis vs Pakhtakor Tashkent Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Persepolis v Pakhtakor Tashkent — Team-Based Signals
Persepolis vs Pakhtakor Tashkent Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Pakhtakor Tashkent
AŞMP
1-0
HT 0-0
Persepolis
AŞMP
1-1
HT 1-1
Pakhtakor Tashkent
AŞMP
Persepolis 1-1 Pakhtakor Tashkent — Actual Match Statistics
Persepolis and Pakhtakor Tashkent couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Persepolis at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Persepolis had 52% of the ball to Pakhtakor Tashkent's 48%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.02 to 1.18.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Persepolis and 0.67 for Pakhtakor Tashkent.
What was the final score of Persepolis vs Pakhtakor Tashkent?
Persepolis 1-1 Pakhtakor Tashkent in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Persepolis vs Pakhtakor Tashkent?
Before kick-off our model rated a Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Persepolis 49%, draw 27%, Pakhtakor Tashkent 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Persepolis), BTTS No went the other way.