Perez Zeledon 2-2 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 54%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
0.89/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.00
-26% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perez Zeledon
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
14.04.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 0-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
21.02.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-2 HT 3-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
19.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
14.08.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-2 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
09.04.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
POST-MATCH Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perez Zeledon and Alajuelense shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Perez Zeledon and 2.17 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense?

Perez Zeledon 2-2 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Perez Zeledon 29%, draw 28%, Alajuelense 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →