Bristol City 1-1 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Sep 2025

Bristol City
1-1 HT 1-0
Ipswich Town
📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Bristol City vs Ipswich Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
15.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.03
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
11%
13.5
X/1
10%
5.79
X/2
14%
5.35
X/X
8%
4.55
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
15%
3.57
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol City v Ipswich Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.30/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.03
+7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
19.7 Crosses 21.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Bristol City vs Ipswich Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 Passes 312
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-2 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
25.10.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
12.03.2019 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
28.11.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-3 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
17.03.2018 Bristol City Bristol City 1-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
30.09.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL

Bristol City 1-1 Ipswich Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
1-1
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.48 xG 1.30
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
207 Passes 443
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City and Ipswich Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Bristol City had 36% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 64%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.48 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bristol City and 1.33 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Ipswich Town?

Bristol City 1-1 Ipswich Town in the England - Championship on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 38%, draw 25%, Ipswich Town 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bristol City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
30 Sep 2025
21:45 Leicester City vs Wrexham Analysis →
21:45 Birmingham vs Sheffield Wednesday Analysis →
21:45 Sheffield United vs Southampton Analysis →
21:45 Blackburn Rovers vs Swansea City Analysis →
21:45 Hull City vs Preston North End Analysis →
21:45 Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Analysis →