Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Middlesbrough v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Stoke City
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-1
Stoke City
İNCL
Middlesbrough 0-0 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Middlesbrough and Stoke City fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Middlesbrough had 55% of the ball to Stoke City's 45%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.64 to 1.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.83 for Stoke City.
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Stoke City?
Middlesbrough 0-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Stoke City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 49%, draw 25%, Stoke City 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Middlesbrough) went the other way.