Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Middlesbrough v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Stoke City
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-1
Stoke City
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-1
Middlesbrough
İNCL
3-1
HT 2-0
Stoke City
İNCL
Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Middlesbrough beat Stoke City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Middlesbrough had 50% of the ball to Stoke City's 50%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 2.46 to 0.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Middlesbrough and 2.17 for Stoke City.
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Stoke City?
Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Stoke City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 50%, draw 24%, Stoke City 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.