Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.44
6+ Goals
10%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
14%
5.18
X/2
13%
5.82
X/X
13%
3.96
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
17%
4.37
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.44/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.40
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.1 Crosses 17.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Swansea City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 1.08
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 409
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Swansea City Swansea City 3-0 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
19.10.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
02.03.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
28.10.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
18.02.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
06.08.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
1-2
AWAY Swansea City
0.56 xG 0.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
312 Passes 336
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City squeezed past Blackburn Rovers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Swansea City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 51% of the ball to Swansea City's 49%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.56 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.00 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Swansea City?

Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 36%, draw 27%, Swansea City 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5
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