Blackburn Rovers 1-0 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 19 Oct 2024

Blackburn Rovers
1-0 HT 1-0
Swansea City
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Blackburn Rovers vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.91
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
14%
4.75
X/2
10%
6.78
X/X
8%
4.78
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
11%
4.78
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blackburn Rovers v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.48/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.38
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.4 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Blackburn Rovers vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Swansea City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 0.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
304 Passes 411
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
28.10.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
18.02.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
06.08.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
05.02.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
07.08.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL

Blackburn Rovers 1-0 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
1-0
AWAY Swansea City
0.81 xG 1.14
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
222 Passes 531
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers edged past Swansea City 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Blackburn Rovers as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 32% of the ball to Swansea City's 68%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.81 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 0.83 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Swansea City?

Blackburn Rovers 1-0 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 47%, draw 26%, Swansea City 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackburn Rovers), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Oxford United vs West Bromwich Analysis →
00:00 Preston North End vs Coventry Analysis →
00:00 Cardiff City vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →
00:00 Stoke City vs Norwich City Analysis →
00:00 Queens Park Rangers vs Portsmouth Analysis →
00:00 Millwall vs Derby County Analysis →