Europa 2-1 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Europa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 49%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-100% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
209 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Europa
2-1
AWAY Albacete
1.41 xG 0.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
263 Passes 150
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Europa vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Europa nicked a narrow win over Albacete 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Europa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Europa had 60% of the ball to Albacete's 40%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 1.41 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Europa vs Albacete?

Europa 2-1 Albacete in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Europa vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Europa 32%, draw 28%, Albacete 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5
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