Lucena vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lucena v Leganes — Team-Based Signals
Lucena 1-2 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics
Leganes edged past Lucena 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Leganes as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lucena had 42% of the ball to Leganes's 58%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.62 to 2.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Leganes's control.
What was the final score of Lucena vs Leganes?
Lucena 1-2 Leganes in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lucena vs Leganes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lucena 18%, draw 27%, Leganes 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.