Langreo 1-2 Orihuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
24%
2.88
Away
43%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.7pp
43%
Away Win
30%
+13.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Langreo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Orihuela EU Bookmakers 34%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Langreo
1-2
AWAY Orihuela
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
0 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Langreo vs Orihuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela squeezed past Langreo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orihuela as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Langreo had 54% of the ball to Orihuela's 46%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Langreo vs Orihuela?

Langreo 1-2 Orihuela in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Langreo vs Orihuela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orihuela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Langreo 33%, draw 24%, Orihuela 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orihuela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orihuela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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