Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1-2 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.5pp
23%
Draw
31%
-7.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ibiza Islas Pitiusas EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 46%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.00
+150% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1-2
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona edged past Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnastic Tarragona as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas had 55% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 45%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1-2 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 35%, draw 23%, Gimnastic Tarragona 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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