Ascoli 1-1 Campobasso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.52
Over 2.5
51%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
5.26
6+ Goals
10%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
62%
-13.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
38%
+13.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Campobasso EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +14%
0.68/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.99
-48% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
1-1
AWAY Campobasso
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Campobasso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli and Campobasso shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ascoli at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ascoli had 43% of the ball to Campobasso's 57%, shots finished 5-8.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Campobasso?

Ascoli 1-1 Campobasso in the Italy - Serie C on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Campobasso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 47%, draw 24%, Campobasso 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✗ Over 2.5
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