Trapani 1905 1-2 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Oct 2024

Trapani 1905
1-2 HT 0-1
Avellino
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Trapani 1905 vs Avellino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.81
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 34% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trapani 1905 v Avellino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.9

Trapani 1905 1-2 Avellino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trapani 1905
1-2
AWAY Avellino
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trapani 1905 vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino nicked a narrow win over Trapani 1905 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Avellino found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trapani 1905 had 50% of the ball to Avellino's 50%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Trapani 1905 vs Avellino?

Trapani 1905 1-2 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trapani 1905 vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Trapani 1905 34%, draw 29%, Avellino 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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