Los Angeles FC 2-1 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
29%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.67
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.2
X/1
17%
3.86
X/2
4%
14.75
X/X
9%
6.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.55
2/2
4%
12.4
2/X
9%
21.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.55 — our 12% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
67%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
10%
Away Win
13%
-2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
2.02/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.71
+5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.1 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Austin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.69
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
462 Passes 366
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2025 Austin Austin 1-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
15.03.2025 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
19.09.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
08.08.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin CONLK
20.06.2024 Austin Austin 1-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
08.10.2023 Austin Austin 2-4 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
2-1
AWAY Austin
1.96 xG 1.16
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
348 Passes 509
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
30 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC squeezed past Austin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 41% of the ball to Austin's 59%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.96 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.00 for Austin.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Austin?

Los Angeles FC 2-1 Austin in the USA - Major League on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 66%, draw 23%, Austin 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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