Gubbio 1-2 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.38
6+ Goals
7%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 36% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.4pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.19/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.30
+8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pescara
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Gubbio Gubbio 4-0 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
02.10.2023 Pescara Pescara 3-2 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
02.11.2022 Pescara Pescara 0-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTCK
04.05.2022 Pescara Pescara 2-2 HT 1-2 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
06.02.2022 Pescara Pescara 3-1 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
28.09.2021 Gubbio Gubbio 2-2 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
1-2
AWAY Pescara
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara edged past Gubbio 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Pescara found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gubbio had 43% of the ball to Pescara's 57%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gubbio and 1.67 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Pescara?

Gubbio 1-2 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 33%, draw 27%, Pescara 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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