Buchbach 3-0 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.59/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.39
+8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Illertissen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 2-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
17.10.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 2-3 HT 2-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 0-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
02.08.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 1-1 HT 1-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
13.11.2021 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
27.07.2021 Illertissen Illertissen 0-1 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach ran out comfortable winners over Illertissen 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Illertissen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Illertissen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Buchbach and 1.17 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Illertissen?

Buchbach 3-0 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 34%, draw 24%, Illertissen 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Illertissen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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