UE Santa Coloma 2-0 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.67
No
58%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-12.2pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.1pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
33%
+8.8pp
58%
BTTS No
67%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UE Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 9%
-17% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.34/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.35
-14% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UE Santa Coloma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 2-1 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
13.04.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 1-1 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
17.03.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 1-0 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada ANDK
18.02.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-0 HT 0-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
25.11.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-2 HT 1-2 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
16.04.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 4-1 HT 1-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
POST-MATCH UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UE Santa Coloma beat Penya Encarnada 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had UE Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UE Santa Coloma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UE Santa Coloma and 1.17 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

UE Santa Coloma 2-0 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated a UE Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split UE Santa Coloma 64%, draw 19%, Penya Encarnada 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UE Santa Coloma), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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