Universitario de Vinto 1-0 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.33/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.77
-34% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 73%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
19.0 Crosses 15.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Guabira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.82 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
242 Passes 280
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Guabira Guabira 4-2 HT 1-2 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
31.03.2024 Guabira Guabira 3-1 HT 1-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
21.02.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
01.12.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.06.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
12.10.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1-0
AWAY Guabira
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto squeezed past Guabira 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario de Vinto as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 55% of the ball to Guabira's 45%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guabira led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.50 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira?

Universitario de Vinto 1-0 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 54%, draw 24%, Guabira 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario de Vinto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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