Libertad (Ekvador) 2-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 30 Nov 2024

Libertad (Ekvador)
2 - 1 HT 2 - 0
Emelec
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.71
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Libertad (Ekvador) v Emelec — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Libertad (Ekvador) The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec The Market 20%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.79 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.89
0.69 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad (Ekvador)
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Emelec
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.66 xG 1.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 450
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.06.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
05.08.2023 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 0-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
27.02.2023 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 2-0 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
REVIEW Libertad (Ekvador) vs Emelec
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Libertad (Ekvador) found just enough to beat Emelec 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Libertad (Ekvador) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.00 a game for Libertad (Ekvador) against 0.67 for Emelec.

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Emelec Result & Final Score

Libertad (Ekvador) 2 - 1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Libertad (Ekvador) vs Emelec Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad (Ekvador) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Libertad (Ekvador) 63%, draw 21%, Emelec 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad (Ekvador)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad (Ekvador)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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