Rostov 4-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

Rostov
4-0 HT 1-0
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.08
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.94
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
18.15
X/1
16%
3.53
X/2
9%
12.05
X/X
8%
5.28
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
7%
10.35
2/X
6%
19.2
Value flag · 1/X at 18.15 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.45/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.64
-22% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
24.3 Crosses 13.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.58 xG 1.41
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 Passes 206
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.02.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod HAZ
26.11.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
26.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
12.03.2023 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
14.08.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 HT 1-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov swept aside Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rostov and 1.17 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Rostov 4-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rostov 54%, draw 24%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ BTTS Yes
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