Sparta Prag vs FK Pardubice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sparta Prag v FK Pardubice — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Prag vs FK Pardubice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Sparta Prag
ÇEK
5-2
HT 3-0
FK Pardubice
ÇEK
0-2
HT 0-2
Sparta Prag
ÇEK
Sparta Prag 2-4 FK Pardubice — Actual Match Statistics
FK Pardubice saw off Sparta Prag 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Sparta Prag carried 80% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sparta Prag had 81% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 19%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.84 to 2.32 — on chances, Sparta Prag could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.00 for FK Pardubice.
What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs FK Pardubice?
Sparta Prag 2-4 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs FK Pardubice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 80%, draw 12%, FK Pardubice 8%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sparta Prag), BTTS No went the other way.