Girona 1-1 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 30 Nov 2025

Girona
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Real Madrid
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Girona vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.34
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
71%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
27%
2.96
Over Pick
73%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
12%
6.62
2-3
37%
2.16
4-5
34%
2.45
6+
17%
4.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
10.1
1/2
3%
18.05
1/X
4%
18.7
X/1
5%
14.25
X/2
21%
4.28
X/X
9%
8.41
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
46%
1.68
2/X
4%
16.75
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Girona v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Girona The Market 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid The Market 70%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.10 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.32
2.46 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Strong
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 83%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Girona vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.07 xG 2.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
393 Passes 584
88% Pass Accuracy 92%
18 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.02.2025 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
07.12.2024 Girona Girona 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
10.02.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-0 HT 2-0 Girona Girona İS1
30.09.2023 Girona Girona 0-3 HT 0-2 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
25.04.2023 Girona Girona 4-2 HT 2-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
30.10.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1

Girona 1-1 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
1 - 1
AWAY Real Madrid
0.79 xG 2.53
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
359 Passes 553
84% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 50
5 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Girona vs Real Madrid
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Girona and Real Madrid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Real Madrid at 71% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The goals card split: both teams to score (61%) came in, over 2.5 goals (73%) didn't.

By the numbers, Girona had 40% of the ball to Real Madrid's 60%, shots finished 10-25, expected goals 0.79 to 2.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Girona and 2.50 for Real Madrid.

Girona vs Real Madrid Result & Final Score

Girona 1 - 1 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Girona vs Real Madrid Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Girona 13%, draw 16%, Real Madrid 71%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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