San Diego 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.53
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.95
X/2
10%
6.22
X/X
9%
5.28
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
19%
3.78
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · X/1 at 5.95 — our 20% vs market 13.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 39%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.64/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.24
-2% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
17.2 Crosses 20.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Diego
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.29 xG 1.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
463 Passes 335
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2025 San Diego 1-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
26.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-5 HT 1-3 San Diego ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
1-3
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.29 xG 3.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
484 Passes 415
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps beat San Diego 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was San Diego at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Diego had 54% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 46%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.29 to 3.06.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Diego had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for San Diego and 2.00 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

San Diego 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split San Diego 42%, draw 23%, Vancouver Whitecaps 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Diego) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Diego) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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