San Diego 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
8.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 27% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.69
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
4%
12.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.14
X/2
6%
7.85
X/X
13%
5.43
2/1
5%
22.0
2/2
19%
5.2
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · X/1 at 5.14 — our 21% vs market 15.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.7pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 31%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.84/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.27
+10% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.4 Crosses 17.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Diego
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.49 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
417 Passes 388
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 38
6 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-5 HT 1-3 San Diego ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
1-1
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.10 xG 1.95
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
509 Passes 282
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego and Vancouver Whitecaps couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was San Diego at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, San Diego had 62% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 38%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.10 to 1.95.

What was the final score of San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

San Diego 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split San Diego 46%, draw 24%, Vancouver Whitecaps 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Diego)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
20 Jul 2025
00:00 Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United Analysis →
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs Orlando City Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs Charlotte Analysis →
03:15 Columbus Crew vs DC United Analysis →