Vancouver Whitecaps 3-5 San Diego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.01
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
6%
5.2
X/2
17%
6.97
X/X
10%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
24.2
2/2
10%
4.75
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY San Diego EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.91/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.73
+17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.1 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3-5
AWAY San Diego
1.08 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
388 Passes 417
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
38 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego got the better of Vancouver Whitecaps 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver Whitecaps at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 49% of the ball to San Diego's 51%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.08 to 1.49.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego?

Vancouver Whitecaps 3-5 San Diego in the USA - Major League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 43%, draw 23%, San Diego 34%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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