Inter Miami vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Inter Miami v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Inter Miami vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
New York City FC
HAZ
1-1
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
Inter Miami 5-1 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
Inter Miami ran out comfortable winners over New York City FC 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, Inter Miami had 49% of the ball to New York City FC's 51%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 2.19 to 0.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Inter Miami and 1.17 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
Inter Miami 5-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 60%, draw 19%, New York City FC 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.