De Graafschap 2-0 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.17
2-3 Goals
39%
2.09
4-5 Goals
26%
2.44
6+ Goals
13%
5.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.61
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.2
X/1
18%
4.23
X/2
7%
15.7
X/X
9%
8.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
18.9
2/2
8%
11.55
2/X
3%
19.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.9 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-9.5pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +29%
2.08/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.68
-8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
415 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
26.1 Crosses 15.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME De Graafschap
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.34 xG 1.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
366 Passes 284
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2025 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
06.09.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
19.01.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-1 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
27.10.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
24.02.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-4 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
11.12.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Graafschap
2-0
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.62 xG 1.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 29
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 14
312 Passes 281
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 42
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH De Graafschap vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

De Graafschap beat FC Eindhoven 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, De Graafschap had 51% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 49%, shots finished 13-29, expected goals 1.62 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for De Graafschap and 0.67 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of De Graafschap vs FC Eindhoven?

De Graafschap 2-0 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 58%, draw 21%, FC Eindhoven 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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