MVV Maastricht 0-0 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
30%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.85
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
20.5
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
9%
8.51
X/2
15%
4.73
X/X
8%
6.07
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.38
2/X
6%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.5 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.6pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.33/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.14
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
18.8 Crosses 20.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Roda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
255 Passes 375
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 3-2 HT 1-1 Roda Roda HOL2
21.09.2024 Roda Roda 1-0 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
17.03.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-3 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
26.11.2023 Roda Roda 1-0 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
05.02.2023 Roda Roda 2-1 HT 0-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
04.09.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-1 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
0-0
AWAY Roda
1.52 xG 1.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
314 Passes 367
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MVV Maastricht and Roda played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Roda at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 47% of the ball to Roda's 53%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.52 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.67 for Roda.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Roda?

MVV Maastricht 0-0 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 30%, draw 22%, Roda 48%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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