Mafra 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 34%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.67/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.34
+29% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2025 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 4-1 HT 2-0 Mafra Mafra POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
1-1
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra and Lusitano Évora 1911 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Mafra had 57% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 43%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Mafra 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mafra 40%, draw 27%, Lusitano Évora 1911 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mafra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mafra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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