Atletico CP 1-2 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
37%
3.04
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.0pp
37%
Draw
30%
+7.4pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-5.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.51/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.71
+20% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
0W-3D-2L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 CF Os Belenenses 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
05.04.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-2 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
07.02.2025 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
01.12.2024 CF Os Belenenses 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
18.08.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-2
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses squeezed past Atletico CP 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 37% / 29%) promised a tight game; CF Os Belenenses found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico CP had 58% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 42%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Atletico CP and 1.00 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs CF Os Belenenses?

Atletico CP 1-2 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 34%, draw 37%, CF Os Belenenses 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5
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