Caldas 1-2 Amora FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Amora FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.37/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.87
+1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Amora FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Amora FC Amora FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
13.04.2024 Amora FC Amora FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
17.03.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-2 HT 0-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
10.12.2023 Caldas Caldas 2-2 HT 1-2 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
27.08.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
26.02.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 4-2 HT 1-2 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
1-2
AWAY Amora FC
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Amora FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amora FC edged past Caldas 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldas had 58% of the ball to Amora FC's 42%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amora FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caldas and 1.83 for Amora FC.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Amora FC?

Caldas 1-2 Amora FC in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Amora FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Caldas 46%, draw 23%, Amora FC 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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