Rio Ave 1-1 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 30 Nov 2025

Rio Ave
1-1 HT 1-1
Santa Clara
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Rio Ave vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.11
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
12%
5.73
X/2
11%
5.17
X/X
15%
3.81
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.83
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rio Ave v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
1.29/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.16
+11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
15.8 Crosses 16.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Rio Ave vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Santa Clara
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
394 Passes 283
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.04.2025 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
07.12.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
27.07.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-2 HT 1-2 Santa Clara Santa Clara HAZ
17.03.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-2 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
02.10.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
23.07.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-2 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara HAZ

Rio Ave 1-1 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave
1-1
AWAY Santa Clara
2.10 xG 1.04
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
380 Passes 249
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 14
7 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rio Ave vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave and Santa Clara couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rio Ave had 58% of the ball to Santa Clara's 42%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 2.10 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Clara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rio Ave and 1.00 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Santa Clara?

Rio Ave 1-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 37%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rio Ave) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave) ✓ Under 2.5
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