Porto vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Porto vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Porto
PORLC
0-1
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
Porto 1-0 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Porto edged past Estoril 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Porto had 48% of the ball to Estoril's 52%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.35 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Porto and 1.00 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Porto vs Estoril?
Porto 1-0 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Porto 78%, draw 14%, Estoril 7%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.