Sporting CP vs Estrela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP v Estrela — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Estrela Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Estrela
POR
Sporting CP 4-0 Estrela — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP ran out comfortable winners over Estrela 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sporting CP had 63% of the ball to Estrela's 37%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.36 to 0.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Sporting CP and 1.00 for Estrela.
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Estrela?
Sporting CP 4-0 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Estrela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 81%, draw 13%, Estrela 6%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.