Porto vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Porto vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Porto
PORLC
0-1
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
3-2
HT 2-1
Estoril
POR
1-1
HT 1-0
Porto
POR
Porto 4-0 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Porto cruised past Estoril 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Porto had 69% of the ball to Estoril's 31%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 3.16 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Porto and 1.33 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Porto vs Estoril?
Porto 4-0 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Porto 70%, draw 16%, Estoril 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.