Arouca vs Sporting Braga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arouca v Sporting Braga — Team-Based Signals
Arouca vs Sporting Braga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Braga
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Arouca
POR
0-6
HT 0-4
Sporting Braga
POR
3-2
HT 0-0
Arouca
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Arouca
POR
Arouca 1-2 Sporting Braga — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Braga edged past Arouca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Arouca had 60% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 40%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.56 to 1.99.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Arouca and 2.17 for Sporting Braga.
What was the final score of Arouca vs Sporting Braga?
Arouca 1-2 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arouca vs Sporting Braga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arouca 24%, draw 29%, Sporting Braga 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.