Estoril vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Porto — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Porto
PORLC
0-1
HT 0-0
Estoril
POR
3-2
HT 2-1
Estoril
POR
Estoril 1-2 Porto — Actual Match Statistics
Porto nicked a narrow win over Estoril 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Estoril had 40% of the ball to Porto's 60%, shots finished 3-14, expected goals 0.90 to 1.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Estoril and 2.00 for Porto.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Porto?
Estoril 1-2 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Porto?
Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Estoril 23%, draw 25%, Porto 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.