Santa Clara 1-0 Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.73
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.49
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.85
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
8%
8.84
X/X
18%
4.07
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
10%
7.81
2/X
7%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.1pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.7pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.80/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.42
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.2 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nacional
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.16 xG 1.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
304 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2024 Nacional Nacional 2-0 HT 2-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
17.03.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Nacional POR2
11.01.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Nacional POK
04.11.2023 Nacional Nacional 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
11.04.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5-1 HT 2-0 Nacional Nacional POR
06.12.2020 Nacional Nacional 1-3 HT 1-2 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
1-0
AWAY Nacional
0.88 xG 0.52
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
143 Passes 283
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Santa Clara vs Nacional
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Santa Clara edged past Nacional 1-0 in the Portugal - Premier League on 30 Mar 2025.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Santa Clara had 37% of the ball to Nacional's 63%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.88 to 0.52.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Santa Clara and 1.17 for Nacional.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Nacional?

Santa Clara 1-0 Nacional in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 43%, draw 34%, Nacional 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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