Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moreirense v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
3-2
HT 2-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POK
2-1
HT 1-0
Moreirense
POR
Moreirense 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Moreirense and Vitoria Guimaraes shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Moreirense had 40% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 60%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.89 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Moreirense and 1.17 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Moreirense 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 27%, draw 30%, Vitoria Guimaraes 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.